Santiago Romera. Managing Partner of AREA XXI
Madrid - Spain
First of all, we would like to express our gratitude for the opportunity that has been offered to us to take part in this publication by contributing an article on Solvency II. For this purpose, a three-fold approach would seem to be appropriate:
If this three-fold treatment enables us to take a highly practical approach to certain concepts that call for clarification, then the objective that was set on tackling this challenge will have been achieved, given that the composition of an article always starts from… a blank page.
Basel II defines a banking system with adequate capital reserves that will enable it to weather the storms that the economic climate can bring
To conclude this introduction, one final point should be noted and that is “information overload”. If the subject examined in this article is entered in a search engine, it is possible to find up to 2,612,000 references (on the date of writing the present article).
To understand the origins of Solvency II and its language, we must refer back to our fellow player in the financial sector, i.e. the banking industry, and more specifically to Basel II. This standard defines a banking system with adequate capital reserves that will enable it to weather the storms that the economic climate can bring. It is more solid and more sensitive to risk than the system under Basel I.
To understand the origins of Solvency II and its language, we must refer back to our fellow player in the financial sector, and more specifically to Basel II
The elements of the new accord are arranged in three pillars which, when broken down and adapted to Solvency II, are as follows:
Figure 1. Conceptual framework of Solvency II. Three Pillars
SCR: Standard Capital Requirement for Solvency
MCR: Minimum Capital Requirement
IRCA: Internal Risk and Capital Assessment
SRP: Supervisory Review Procedures
Source: CEIOPS [Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors] Fuente: CEIOPS
In essence, the insurance business may be summarized as follows: the payment of a specific sum by the insured (the premium) to a concrete entity (the insurance company) with the purpose of “transferring” the risk to which the insured is exposed. In return, the insurance company accepts the risk, providing cover for it and thereby “releasing” the insured from that risk.
To enable insurers to cope with the foreseeable contingencies, they may have two resources, each of which entails a series of risks:
At present, the referred Solvency Margin is determined according to the volume of premiums or claims and -in certain lines of businessaccording to the volume of the mathematical (actuarial) reserves or sums at risk. The salient point as regards the calculations mentioned here is that – regardless of the typology of each company – they are performed according to an identical formula, along the lines of “one size fits all”. This will change with Solvency II, which adopts a more individualized approach.
Figure 2. Master Plan in a Solvency II project
Source:: AREA XXI
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In this regard, it is possible to see the differences between Solvency and Basel; the Solvency formula proves to be broader in conceptual terms. It considers liability and related accounting aspects as well as the operational risk and the relationship between assets and liabilities (ALM – Asset Liability Management).
At present, the Solvency Margin is determined according to the volume of premiums or claims and -in certain lines of business– according to the volume of the mathematical reserves or sums at risk
There is also a distinct difference between Solvency I and Solvency II. Solvency II uses market value in order to determine the economic capital (Solvency Margin in Solvency I, and standard capital requirement (SCR) in Solvency II). The previous “blank slate” with fixed, endogenous percentages is replaced by a more complete approach that takes account of the assets side of the balance sheet (market and credit risk).
Taking into account these considerations and in order to prepare the way for Solvency II, companies should implement a specific “Master Plan” , divided into two sections or “exercises”: a qualitative section (focusing primarily on the quality of information) and a quantitative one (to obtain the number to be taken into account in the economic balance sheet with the data that previously underwent qualitative processing).
Figure 3. Qualitative risk analysis
Source:: AREA XXI
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The initial approach proves to be fundamentally important because it entails consideration by the company of its “risk appetite” and consequently, of the impact this has on the capital adequacy requirements for coping with it.
Likewise, this will enable the company to evaluate the resources available for this purpose, in relation to business lines (Life, Non-Life) and to various distribution channels – for example, agencies, direct insurance or bancassurance.
This aspect, which is covered by Pillar II, will take the form of an “internal project” in the reinsurance company, breaking it down into two basic sections:
Having analyzed the quality of the information, it is time now to specify various quantitative indicators by determining risk in monetary units on the basis of exercises known as Quantitative Impact Studies – QIS. This is a step prior to establishing the definitive formula. There are two key aspects here:
The chart in figure 4 shows the various “boxes” that must be calculated using correlation matrix for each risk group and on a global basis. In the latest QIS exercise (Quantitative Impact Study 5), the portion of intangibles, the division between Life and Non-Life, and the scope of adjustments to the BSCR (Basic Solvency Capital Requirement).
Figure 4. SCR, Standard formula. Standard requirement of Solvency capital
Source:: CEIOPS
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The Solvency Margin will change with Solvency II, which adopts a more individualized approach
Within these cells, on the basis of previous QIS exercises and in accordance with the market situation, we may make these summarizing comments:
This initial analysis of risks that entail greater or lesser capital cost brings us to the third section of our article..
This breakdown identifies a series of opportunities that can be classified as follows:
Diversification, both geographical and in terms of business lines, will save capital, so companies operating in one single line or one single country will not be favoured
From our perspective as consultants who actively keep our fingers on the pulse of the sector, we detect a general increase in awareness, although those who have not initiated measures to adapt to Solvency II may be missing an opportunity to measure the real value of our “merchandise” – which is nothing more than risk itself.
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AREA: Risk Analysis for Insurance Companies